Hamblin ch. 5
What do you think about weather
modification as a possibility?
- it is possible,
but should we
- may have
unintended consequences that are irreversible
- may be possible
only on a very limited scale
- what science
does: observe, predict, experiment, control--people in
the 1950s believed that with science nothing was impossible
Experiments with weather modification
- the public
quickly accepted this was possible--they were that in
awe of the power of science
- some scientists
believed would be able to change life for the better
by controlling weather
- cloud seeding
with dry ice, silver iodide, sodium chloride
- it was possible
on a small scale, but only a few scientists believed
it was possible on a large scale
- it only worked
with clouds that were in the right state--ready to
rain--so how to know if it would have happened anyway?
- people then
feared the experiments had caused unusual weather that
had caused a flood in Canada
- meteorologists
took the stance that we don't understand the weather
enough to modify it
reactions:
- fear of unintended consequences
- are the forces involved in weather
too large for humans to modify?
- what are the biases of the experts?
- different assumptions in people's
heads
- weather is an act of God, we can't
possibly modify it
- science and technology progresses
towards complete control of nature
- we shouldn't try to modify the
weather
- because it is too complex so too
much danger of unintended consequences
- we shouldn't disturb the balance
of nature
- we have a responsibility to
preserve the natural world undisturbed
- if we could turn the whole earth
into a garden modified for our own benefit, should we?
but nuclear
tests in 1954 showed that humans could have large
scale effects
- weather was abnormal around the
world that year
- meteorologists refused to believe it
was caused by ground level nuclear tests, but the press
kept reporting speculation
- a moratorium on atmospheric testing
was observed 1958-early 1962, then there was a flurry of
testing, then a treaty was signed in 1963
- high altitude tests in 1958 and 1962
increased the size and strength of the Van Allen radiation
belts around the earth
- this shifted the thinking of
scientists, human action changing the world on a world on
world-wide scale was possible
- whether they affected the weather
seems more still a matter of debate
what does this say about how we think
about our relationship with nature?
- could we control something as large
scale as the weather
- if we could, should we?
- US research apparently ended in 2005
but cloud seeding is
practiced on a small scale: 55 projects in the US in
2014
- in
a larger scale in some other countries: "There’s
even a luxury cloud-seeding market emerging—one European
company, for instance, charges a minimum of $150,000 to
guarantee good wedding weather by forcing clouds to rain
in the days before the event."
- legal
issues
- makes it seem more possible that we
could be doing world scale damage unintentionally
- should we take action to modify
problems--geoengineering