Mokyr 7
what makes some societies more encouraging of
technological change than others?--not just economic factors
Note that Mokyr does not see invention as always starting from
a need
or at least the need is always there, it is invention that
varies between societies
separate demand and rewards
- there is always a demand (potential market)
for ways to make life easier
- is it simply impossibility that holds back
progress?
- or is the issue that the person who invents
one doesn't necessarily get rewarded?
- but reward isn't just profit
separate demand and income
- demand goes up when income goes up
- but if technology causes income to go up then demand is
not an independent variable
what are the social factors?
- the common individual preferences in society will have
some effect: willingness to take risks, work hard and defer
gratification
- also how seriously is concern about change or even damage
to the environment
- what about putting people out of work
- the Rust Brothers demonstrated a cotton harvesting
machine in 1935
- they were concerned about the unemployment this would
cause
- they also didn't have enough capital to bring it into
commercial production
- International Harvester started selling a similar
machine in 1947
- how strong is the attachment to stability
Factors that encourage technological progress:
- longer life expectancy, but the evidence isn't very
convincing
- better nutrition (in the southern US pellagra was
common--a disease caused by low levels of protein)
- willingness to take risks and optimism (thinking the
risks are lower than they are)
- availability of resources, but the argument isn't
straightforward
- technological progress may cause utilization of resources
rather than vice versa, or lack of resources may stimulate
invention
Path dependency or technological momentum
- one technology leads to another
- some paths lead to more and more progress, others to dead
ends
- but path chosen doesn't describe very well why some
societies are technologically successful
labor costs
- high wages may stimulate the invention of labor-saving
technologies
- but the inventors of the early British industrial
revolution weren't focused on saving labor
What about science?
- not the key stimulating factor because technologies are
often developed before the necessary science
Religion
- does the religion support human mastery over nature?
- consider the Hindu caste system as a disincentive to
technological progress--it is impossible to better your lot in
life
Values
- how much value is put on wealth? this varies in
different societies
- is it better to be brave or wise than to be rich?
- is property valued more highly than money?
- prejudices may affect what succeeds
- what are the relative values placed on useful vs.
beautiful?
- Europeans were more pragmatic
Institutions and property rights
- pluralist societies are probably more progressive
- security in ownership would encourage people to take
risks
- intellectual property (patents)?
- could stimulate invention but certainly many inventors
made do without
- could slow progress
Resistance to innovation:
- those who have invested in one technology will resist
technologies that replace it
Politics and the state
- weak governments are usually good for innovation
- government encouragement of innovation plays a
significant role
- how much tolerance is there for nonconformity?
War
- military produces new needs and is willing to develop
technologies that would not be profitable
- but also puts a very high value on conformity
- whether war results in technological innovation depends
on other factors
Openness to new information
- prejudice against outsiders reduces diffusion of ideas
- in the later Islamic world the word for innovation also
meant heresy
- a common language helps a lot
Demography
- population growth leads to innovation?
- or population density?
- there are many counter-examples